Tag: poll

SNP voters back rapid move away from oil & gas, new polling shows

++ YouGov polling of SNP voters shows overwhelming support for UK to ‘get off oil and gas as quickly as possible’

++ First Minister candidates are urged to speed progress towards a fair and fast energy transition for workers and communities

A YouGov poll of 1,000 SNP voters has shown that there is huge support for a quicker move away from oil and gas to ensure access to reliable and affordable energy. A majority of respondents who expressed an opinion supported a ban on exploration for new oil and gas, and opposed the controversial Rosebank oil field.

Campaigners say that the candidates to be First Minister must lay out their vision for how Scotland will move away from oil and gas in a fair and fast way, in line with climate science. The next First Minister will be selected by SNP members in the coming weeks.

The respondents also back more support for affected workers and communities to help them benefit from the transition away from fossil fuels. The YouGov poll for Uplift/ Friends of the Earth Scotland was carried out on 22/23 Feb 2023.

Polling results:

  + 70% of SNP voters support the UK to ‘get off oil and gas as quickly as possible’ by ramping up efforts to improve energy efficiency and developing lots more renewable energy.
Just 4% thought the UK should ‘continue to meet its energy demand primarily with oil and gas for as long as is necessary’
  + 45% support for a ban on new exploration for oil and gas (compared to 39% who did not support, and 16% who said they didn’t know)
  + 86% of SNP voters thought more support should be given to oil and gas workers to transition to green jobs
  + 62% of respondents thought that not enough was being done to ensure communities in North East Scotland were ready and able to benefit from the transition away from oil and gas.
  + 89% of SNP voters were supportive of the creation of a ‘publicly owned company to produce energy’ which would ‘ensure the benefits of the transition to renewables are more widely shared’

Friends of the Earth Scotland head of campaigns Mary Church commented: “As the campaign to be the next First Minister hots up, any credible candidate must put the need for a fair and fast transition away from fossil fuels at the heart of their vision for Scotland’s future. Backsliding on fossil fuels or supporting UK Government plans to drill for more oil would only exacerbate the climate crisis.

“Rapidly bringing down emissions while protecting affected communities and workers through this transition will be one of the defining challenges of the coming decade. This transformation to a climate safe future must prioritise meeting the needs of ordinary people  rather than clinging on to an outdated energy system that only benefits profiteering oil companies.

“From banning fracking and opposing the Cambo field, to asking how soon to phase out oil and gas in the recent energy strategy, Nicola Sturgeon has started to steer the SNP away from its long-standing allegiance to fossil fuels. Her successor must continue in this direction and swiftly rule out support for any new fossil fuels, and put a plan in place to end reliance on oil and gas within this decade.”

Lauren MacDonald from Stop Rosebank commented: “People in Scotland understand that there is no future in new fields like Rosebank and are tired of being rinsed by oil and gas producers.

“They can see that the public harms outweigh the benefits, whether it’s the more than half a billion pounds in public subsidies Rosebank will get, despite the industry raking in billions, or the vast emissions from burning its reserves.”

“It’s also clear from this polling that people want a proper, managed transition, which won’t happen as long as new drilling is allowed to continue.

“Anyone aspiring to lead the party and Scotland needs to not just acknowledge these views but make sure they are heard loud and clear in Westminster.”

***

The UK Government’s decision is imminent on the approval of Rosebank, which is the largest undeveloped oil field in UK waters. The Scottish Government has said that new fossil fuels are not the answer to either the cost of living crisis or the climate emergency.

Nicola Sturgeon has said that her Government will end its support for drilling every last drop of oil and gas as part of its new Energy Strategy. The Scottish Government is also consulting on whether there should be a presumption against exploring for new oil and gas and limits on existing fields.  A quicker phase out of oil and gas is needed in order to limit global heating to the critical 1.5oC threshold.

Despite commitments by the Scottish Government to co-design the Just Transition Plan for the energy sector, direct involvement of oil and gas workers has been limited to an online survey so far. The chair of the Just Transition Commission wrote to the Minister for Just Transition, Employment and Fair Work about his ‘deep concern’ after the Government failed to consult with them on the development of the Plan. The Plan includes a number of Just Transition outcomes but no route map to delivering them.

In 2017, the Scottish Government announced they would support a publicly owned energy company but subsequently dropped the idea. There has been criticism that the huge Scotwind project has privatised the opportunity for offshore wind, risking a failure to deliver supply chain benefits, protections for workers and a long term source of revenue to the public purse.

UK Labour have pledged to create a Great British Energy company to generate ‘clean power’ if they get into UK Government.

Climate experts have been clear that there can be no new fossil fuel projects if the world is to stay within agreed climate limits of 1.5C of warming.

Seven out of ten people in Edinburgh North & Leith agree Brexit was a mistake

ONLY INDEPENDENCE CAN TAKE SCOTLAND AND VOTERS IN EDINBURGH NORTH AND LEITH BACK INTO THE EU, SAYS DEIRDRE BROCK

Local MP Deidre Brock has highlighted the findings of a recent poll that suggest 70% of people in the constituency agreed that Britain was wrong to leave the EU.

More than half strongly agreed, with just 15% disagreeing and 15% not expressing a view. The poll found opposition to Brexit in Edinburgh North & Leith was the seventh highest out of all 650 constituencies in the UK. 

It follows the result in 2016 where every constituency and local authority in Scotland voted to remain, with 62% of Scots backing continued membership of the EU, including an estimated 78% of voters in Edinburgh North & Leith. Recent polls have suggested the figure across Scotland is now as high as 72% as the damage of Brexit hits hard.

Commenting, Deidre Brock MP said: “People in Edinburgh North & Leith and Scotland as a whole voted overwhelmingly to remain in the EU in 2016.

 “Instead we’ve been dragged out against our will and forced to endure the economic hardship that’s come with it.

“Brexit has been a disaster for my constituency and for Scotland, decimating industries, exacerbating the Tory-made cost of living crisis and allowing Westminster to ride roughshod over Holyrood with blatant powergrabs.

“Three years in and the UK has nothing to show for it but a declining economy and falling reputation abroad. 

“People in Edinburgh North & Leith deserve better with a return to the EU that only the full powers of independence can deliver.”

Democracy Isn’t Working

In an exclusive poll of 10,000 voters – five times the normal sample size for surveys of voter sentiment  – Tortoise has found British democracy isn’t working.

Twelve years since the Conservatives took power and six since the EU referendum, voters are dissatisfied with their representatives, divided by demography and distrustful of a system that seems stacked against them.

  • Barely half of voters think of Britain as a functioning democracy.
  • Nearly a third want a strong leader unconstrained by parliament when it comes to making big decisions.
  • Three quarters think MPs don’t care much or at all about their everyday concerns.
  • Four fifths feel they have little or no say in how the country is run.
  • 45 per cent of voters would vote to rejoin the EU if there was another referendum, compared with 40 per cent who’d vote to stay out.

The full findings can be found here:  Democracy in Britain . The poll was designed with the pollster Peter Kellner, and carried out by Deltapoll.

  • By 2:1, they think it doesn’t make much difference which party is in power
  • Nearly six in ten say “rich and powerful people having more political influence than ordinary voters” tops a list of the worst features of British democracy.
  • More than two thirds (68 per cent) across all age ranges say young people don’t have enough respect for traditional British values. 

James Harding. Co-founder and Editor of Tortoise Media, said: “Democracy is in trouble in the UK.  Only one person in five thinks democracy gives them any real say in how the country is run; nearly a third of people say the country needs a strong leader who doesn’t need to consult Parliament; and the biggest concern is that democracy works for the rich and powerful, not them. 

These are just some of the findings of the poll of 10,000 people that we commissioned at Tortoise to look at the state of democracy in Britain.  It’s the first opinion poll done on this scale to ask the question: “Does democracy work for you?” 

There are plenty of international surveys charting the decline of democracy around the world, where dictators, populists and pseudo-democrats are rolling back the rule of law.  But we’re too complacent about the democracy crisis at home: people are losing faith in Britain’s political system. 

Tortoise is a slow newsroom; we’re not trying to chase more breaking news, but understand what’s driving it.  Over the coming months, we are going to be holding ThinkIns across the country trying to get to the truth about Britain’s broken democracy – and, we hope, gather ideas on ways to mend it.”

Peter Kellner, leadinghttps://mailchi.mp/tortoisemedia/people-minus-power-1 pollster: “We all know the mantra. Britain has its problems but, for all its faults, our nation is a mature, stable democracy whose future is secure.

“That view could be dangerously complacent. Deltapoll’’s research for Tortoise suggests that the risks of our democracy fraying are greater than we might think. Barely half the public think Britain is democratic, and 14 million want a strong leader who does not have to answer to Parliament.

“I have never seen such disturbing figures. They flow from widespread contempt for our politicians. Two thirds of the public think MPs are “mainly out for themselves” rather than genuinely interested in public service and their constituents. Even more, three in four, do not trust MPs to “care about the concerns of people like you”.

“As a result, the adjectives that people choose most, from a list of eight to describe Britain’s democracy these days are “uneasy”, “disgusted” and “angry”, while the adjectives they choose least are “confident”, “happy” and “proud”. It’s impossible to avoid the conclusion that British democracy is in deep trouble with the electorate.”

Joe Twyman, Co- Founder of Delta Poll: “Tortoise has commissioned one of the largest surveys ever conducted in this country to look closely at democracy in Britain, including how the British people feel it works for them and for others.

“A representative sample of more than 10,000 adults from across Britain took part, and while the results may make for some uncomfortable reading, the data paint a very important and necessary picture that invites close examination.

“You cannot address a problem by simply pretending – or even hoping – that it does not exist.”