Alba: Creating a Supermajority for Indpendence?

‘Tipping the balance in Scotland’s favour’?

The Alba Party is looking for voters in May’s Holyrood elections to cast their votes for them on the regional list. They say this will deliver a ‘supermajority’ for independence. How would this work?

‘The more success a party has on the constituency vote, the less well it does on the regional list vote. That’s why in 2016 #BothVotesSNP led to 1 million wasted pro-independence list votes.

‘Voting Alba Party on May 6th will make sure no pro-independence vote goes to waste by securing a #Supermajority for independence.

‘Let’s tip the balance in Scotland’s favour.

‘The Westminster Government has already said it will not allow another independence referendum in Scotland.

‘The #Supermajority will be the only mandate needed to begin negotiating Scotland’s independence as a parliament, rather than just a party.

‘On May 6th you have two votes. On your constituency ballot paper, #voteSNP for your local SNP candidate. On your regional ballot paper, #voteAlba Party to ensure an independence #Supermajority.

The weight of these two votes combined, will tip the balance in Scotland’s favour and guarantee a #Supermajority for independence in the Scottish Parliament this year.

However The Scottish National Party says that if you want independence, you must vote SNP:

The 2011 Scottish election produced a result that was never meant to happen. A majority pro-independence government, against all odds. So how did voters in Scotland do it?

‘At the elections, the SNP won 53 constituency seats on the first vote. But it was the 16 seats won on the regional list, with voters second vote, that got the SNP over the line.

‘It was with people voting Both Votes SNP that secured the first majority government.

Other parties say that you don’t have to vote Both Votes SNP in order to vote for independence. They say people should vote for them instead. But they said the same in 2016 – and the SNP lost its majority.

‘Holyrood got less pro-independence MSPs, and Westminster used it as an excuse to question Scotland’s pro-independence mandate.

‘Their tactical voting gamble has failed.

‘This election really comes down to one question. Do you want to put Scotland’s future in Scotland’s hands, or those of Boris Johnson?

‘If you want to help build a better, more progressive future for Scotland, then make it #BothVotesSNP on 6 May.

This will be the most important election in Scottish history. Every single vote will count. Scotland’s future is in your hands.

While their political priority remains the climate change and the environment, the Scottish Greens also support Scottish independence.

The Conservatives, Scottish Labour and the Lib Dems all oppose independence and say recovery from the pandemic must take priority over constitutional issues.

Indyref2 Bill published

A draft independence referendum Bill has been published to give people in Scotland the right to decide their future, once the current health crisis is over.

Constitution Secretary Michael Russell said the draft Bill is being brought forward to offer Scotland the choice of who is best placed to lead the country’s post-pandemic recovery – the people who live here or a government based in Westminster.

The draft Scottish Independence Referendum Bill publication sets out a number of key issues for a vote including:

  • the timing of a referendum should be a matter for the next Scottish Parliament to decide. Ministers have separately made clear it should take place once the public health crisis is over
  • the question “Should Scotland be an independent country?” is the same one used during the 2014 referendum and it will be tested by the Electoral Commission
  • voting eligibility will be extended to match the franchise at Scottish Parliament and local government elections

The draft Bill has been published on the Scottish Government’s website. It will be for a future Scottish Government to consider whether it formally introduces a Bill in the Scottish Parliament.

Mr Russell said: “Our top priority will continue to be dealing with the pandemic and keeping the country safe, but we are optimistic that because of the incredible efforts of people across Scotland better times lie ahead.

“The Scottish Government believes it should be the people living in Scotland who have the right to decide how we recover from the pandemic and what sort of country we wish to build after the crisis.

“If Westminster maintains its control, recent history shows what Scotland can expect: an economic recovery hindered by a hard Brexit that is already taking a significant toll and the continued, systematic undermining of devolution, which is weakening our parliament’s powers to maintain food and environmental standards and protect the NHS from post-Brexit trade deals.

“Scotland’s recovery should be made by the people who live here and who care most about Scotland. That is why Scotland’s future should be Scotland’s choice.

“It should be for the next Scottish Parliament to decide the timing of the referendum. So that the recovery from the pandemic can be made in Scotland, the Scottish Government believes it should be held in the first half of the new Parliamentary term.

“If there is a majority in the Scottish Parliament after the forthcoming election for an independence referendum there can be no democratic justification whatsoever for any Westminster government to seek to block a post-pandemic referendum.”

Read the draft Scottish Independence Referendum Bill

Scot Lib Dem candidate for Northern and Leith slams SNP for prioritising independence over recovery

Scottish Liberal Democrat candidate for Edinburgh Northern and Leith, Rebecca Bell has criticised the Scottish Government for diverting their attention to an independence referendum instead of focusing on the pandemic.

On Monday 22nd March, the Scottish Government published a draft bill on a proposed second independence referendum which sets out the SNP’s plans to hold a referendum early in the next Parliament. 

The document states that the timing of a vote will give power to MSPs to determine the timing of another referendum on independence, rerunning the same question as used in 2014 “Should Scotland be an independent country?”.

Rebecca Bell said: “People are under huge pressure from the pandemic and after years of arguing about independence and Brexit, the last thing we need right now is another independence referendum.

“While families and businesses have been worried about their lives and livelihoods, the SNP have put civil servants and their resources up to the task of planning an independence referendum instead of planning for the recovery from the pandemic.

“We need a Pandemic Recovery Bill, not a Referendum Bill which distracts from our recovery. This should be our absolute priority. The Scottish Liberal Democrats will put the recovery first and use our strength and influence to build a fair, green recovery for everyone.”

Leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats Willie Rennie said: “Holy moly, they’ve had people working on the referendum instead of dealing with the pandemic.

“Dozens of civil servants could have been planning to get cancer services running full speed but they’ve been ordered to do this instead. Or they could have been working on getting funds to business, better mental health services or support for schools.

“We are still in a pandemic. Thousands have lost their lives, thousands more have lost their job.

“Reasonable people will think that this is the wrong moment to be pushing a referendum.

“We should put recovery first and bin this bill.”

PM Boris Johnson: Union stronger than ever

Marking one year as Prime Minister, Boris Johnson will today visit Scotland to reaffirm his commitment to supporting all parts of the UK through the pandemic

  • Marking one year as Prime Minister, Boris Johnson will today visit Scotland to reaffirm his commitment to supporting all parts of the UK through the pandemic
  • During the visit, the PM will meet local businesses to discuss how they are getting back on their feet; entrepreneurs to see how green technology is driving innovation across Scotland and military to thank them for their efforts in the coronavirus response
  • Ahead of the visit, the Prime Minister pledged £50 million to Orkney, Shetland and the Western Isles

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has reaffirmed his unwavering commitment to the union, marking one year as Prime Minister with a visit to Scotland and pledging further support for Scottish communities.

Ahead of the visit, the Prime Minister reiterated how the coronavirus pandemic has demonstrated, more than ever, that each part of the UK benefits from being together and the strength of the union has helped us through this crisis.

In Scotland, the UK Treasury has protected over 900,000 jobs and granted thousands of businesses loans; the UK’s armed forces has airlifted critically ill patients from some of the most remote communities, helped convert the temporary hospitals and ran mobile testing sites; and the Department of Health and Social Care has procured millions of pieces of PPE to keep Scottish frontline workers safe.

This is on top of £4.6 billion ‘we have given straight to the Scottish administration to help tackle coronavirus’.

The Prime Minister has also announced further support to Scottish communities, committing £50 million to Orkney, Shetland and the Western Isles, to help develop the islands’ economic potential. The announcement means that every part of Scotland is now covered by the innovative growth deals and takes the UK Government’s investment in these to more than £1.5 billion.

The multi-million-pound pot for the islands will lead to investment in local projects, driving sustainable economic growth and creating jobs. Projects set to be supported by the Islands Growth deal could include those developing space technology and others researching new renewable energy systems.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson said: “When I stood on the steps of Downing Street one year ago, I pledged to be a Prime Minister for every corner of the United Kingdom. Whether you are from East Kilbride or Dumfries, Motherwell or Paisley, I promised to level up across Britain and close the opportunity gap.

“The last six months have shown exactly why the historic and heartfelt bond that ties the four nations of our country together is so important and the sheer might of our union has been proven once again.

“In Scotland, the UK’s magnificent armed forces have been on the ground doing vital work to support the NHS, from setting up and running mobile testing sites to airlifting critically ill patients to hospitals from some of Scotland’s most remote communities. And the UK Treasury stepped in to save the jobs of a third of Scotland’s entire workforce and kept the wolves at bay for tens of thousands of Scottish businesses.

“More than ever, this shows what we can achieve when we stand together, as one United Kingdom.”

During the PM’s visit, he will meet with members of the military and their families based in Scotland to thank them for their ongoing work in the coronavirus response.

Following the Islands Deal announcement, Scottish Secretary Alister Jack said: “The City Region and Growth Deals will be crucial to our economic recovery from coronavirus.

“Today’s announcement means that every corner of Scotland will benefit from these and takes the UK Government’s investment in growth deals across Scotland to more than £1.5 billion.

“These deals are just part of the unprecedented support that the UK Government is providing to people and businesses in Scotland during this time. We have supported 900,000 jobs in Scotland with our furlough and self-employed schemes, including 11,600 across the islands.

“We look forward to working with our partners across the islands and the devolved administration in Scotland to develop innovative and effective proposals.”

The Prime Minister will not be meeting Scotland’s First Minister Nicola Sturgeon during today’s flying visit.

Ms Sturgeon commented on Twitter: ‘I welcome the PM to Scotland today. One of the key arguments for independence is the ability of Scotland to take our own decisions, rather than having our future decided by politicians we didn’t vote for, taking us down a path we haven’t chosen. His presence highlights that.’

The Scottish Government is also investing £50 million in the Islands Deal.

Cabinet Secretary for Transport, Infrastructure and Connectivity, Michael Matheson, said: “The Islands Growth Deal is the final regional growth deal to be announced and marks our commitment to invest across all of Scotland, which is something we have pushed for.

“This money will work to improve the quality of life for island communities, alongside the Scottish Government National Islands Plan we introduced to the Scottish Parliament at the end of 2019.

“This significant investment will support islanders’ ambitions to create world-class visitor destinations, lead the way to a low carbon future, support growth and future industries and help the communities thrive by attracting and retaining young talent, driving inclusive and sustainable economic growth and delivering long lasting benefits for people living across the three island authority areas.

“It is important that all deals take account of the unprecedented economic challenges created by coronavirus (COVID-19) and we are working with partners, to understand how best to move forward and respond to current circumstances.

“More than £1.8 billion has been committed by the Scottish Government to City Region and Growth Deals and related investments across Scotland, in addition to ongoing capital investment in Scotland’s islands across a range of policy areas.”

‘Democracy must and will prevail’: Scotland’s right to choose

The democratic case for Scotland having the ability to choose its own constitutional future has been published.

The paper – entitled “Scotland’s Right to Choose: Putting Scotland’s Future in Scotland’s Hands” – lays out the detailed case for how and why the country should be able to have the choice of independence in a referendum. Continue reading ‘Democracy must and will prevail’: Scotland’s right to choose

Opinion: Solidarity and Borders

It may seem obvious, but it is essential to stress that solidarity does not end at borders. In recent years, UK politicians and many celebrities have been given a public stage to describe how disappointed, even ‘sad’, they would be were Scotland to succeed and become a fully independent state – see The Independent’s ‘Love letters to Scotland from writers who want it to stay in the union’ (September 2014), David Bowie’s “Scotland, stay with us” comments via Kate Moss (February 2014), or The Herald’s ‘200 celebrities and public figures sign letter backing indyref No vote’ (August 2014), writes LUKE CAMPBELL.

Within the UK, Scotland has a shared recent history with England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. So too, Scots have a record of international solidarity with the likes of Chile and Spain. In 1974, whilst then-Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher was a personal friend of the Augusto Pinochet, 4,000 workers at the East Kilbride Rolls-Royce factory refused to repair the dictator’s Hawker Hunter aircraft used in the attack on the democratically elected socialist government of Salvador Allende.

A fan boycott campaign even took place when in 1977 the Scottish Football Association decided that Scotland’s men’s team would play at the Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos in Santiago. The stadium was used as a detention centre during the military coup, with more than 40,000 people having been held prisoner. During the Spanish Civil War, more than 2,000 volunteers from throughout the UK fought for the International Brigades against General Franco’s fascist regime.

International solidarity has never stopped at political borders, nor has it been dependent on the permission of governments. In 2003, 3million people protested in Rome against the Iraq war (a country of 57.3million at the time, the protesters representing 5.2% of the Italian population), 1.5million protested in Madrid (42.7million, 3.5%), 1million in London (50million, 2%), and 100,000 in Glasgow (5.1million 2%).  Likewise, within the political union of the UK, borders have never prevented class solidarity. When the Conservatives trialled The Community Charge (the Poll Tax) in the UK ‘region’ of Scotland in April 1989, the Scottish and English working classes protested side-by-side as they sought to abolish the charge, and prevent its implementation in our neighbouring states.

Indeed, some 1,000 people travelled from Liverpool to Glasgow for the anti-poll tax demonstration. More recently, we’ve witnessed large turnouts at demonstrations in reaction to US President Donald Trump’s Executive Order barring citizens from seven Muslim majority countries from entering the US, along with an indefinite suspension of their Syrian refugee programme.

We are already witnessing efforts to reduce the effectiveness of Trade Unions. Having introduced employment tribunal fees, and in doing so created a financial barrier to social justice, May’s Government pushed through the Trade Union Bill in May 2016. Whilst solidarity of the working class was a fundamental aspect of demonstrating participation on the global stage, as outlined above, the passing of the bill marked a “dark day for working people” according to Unite’s General Secretary Len McCluskey (May 2016).

He added that “it is the workers of England, who will bear the brunt of the Conservative government’s measures, for the devolved administrations in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have all stated this law has no place in their countries or workplaces”. In addition, despite Theresa May’s promises to “ensure that workers’ rights are fully protected and maintained” her inaction in the face of withdrawal from the EU risks further reduction to workers’ rights.

UK Labour Party MP for Great Grimsby, Melanie Onn, who’s bill to ensure that workers’ rights remain the same post-Brexit was met by Tory filibustering, has likened May’s willingness to discuss workers’ rights post-Brexit to ‘radio silence’ (January 2017).

Onn noted that were the UK to leave the EU without replacing the European Communities Act, legislation including parental leave, the working time directive, and equal rights for part-time and agency workers would disappear. Even the Great Repeal Bill results in a scenario whereby ‘hard-fought protections could be scrapped with just a simple vote of Parliament’ (Kentish, January 2017).

An Inclusive Country?

UK records state that at present, approximately 181,000 EU nationals live in Scotland. On 13th March 2017, Westminster rejected a House of Lords bill amendment that would have guaranteed the rights of EU citizens following the Brexit process. The UK Government’s desire for any referendum on Scottish independence to be held post-Brexit may, therefore, arguably be down to a desire to prevent EU nationals from voting, just as they were denied the right to vote on Brexit itself – this being despite eligibility to vote in the 2014 Scottish independence referendum.

Only those aged 18 and over from the UK, Ireland, or the Commonwealth could vote in June’s Brexit referendum. Sixteen and seventeen year olds, legally able to leave school and get married in Scotland, were permitted to vote in the 2014 referendum, they too were ineligible. The Brexit vote saw all 32 local council authorities in Scotland vote to remain in the EU, a Scottish rate of 62% to remain compared to just 48% UK-wide. At the SNP’s Spring Conference in March 2017, Aberdeen South and North Kincardine branch tabled a motion that read, “Conference believes extending voting rights to all those who make their home in Scotland would send an important message that we are an inclusive nation that believes in equal rights.”

The motion was passed unanimously, highlighting the stark contrast in approaches taken between the UK Conservative Party and the SNP. Whilst the former Scottish Labour leader Johan Lamont may have stated on the STV that Scottish people are “not genetically programmed to make political decisions” (February 2014 – aye, seriously!), as a nation, we in Scotland voted overwhelming to remain in the EU.

Immigration was a central theme during the Brexit campaign, and since the success of the leave vote, the likes of The Guardian and The Telegraph have regularly run articles noting the concern of workers from other EU countries living in the UK regarding their right to live the lives they have built here for themselves. The Guardian (January 2017) stated that the Home Office has faced ‘a 50% increase in the number of applications [from EU citizens] seeking permanent residency since the Brexit vote on 23 June’ (56,024 in June 2016, up from 36,555 in April 2016).

In March 2017 academics at the University of Oxford stated that ‘staff would go if they were not reassured about their future’, whilst similarly The Times reported that the ‘NHS could lose 25,000 workers because of EU vote’ (March 2017) representing two-fifths of EU citizens working UK-wide in the NHS.

We have witnessed the dismantling of the NHS in England – outsourcing of national services to Virgin Care, Care UK, and Bupa, letters have been sent by NHS Trusts to asylum claimants that ‘contravene NHS guidelines’ regarding maternity care, and the passing of the Health & Social Care Act which removes the UK Government’s responsibility for the NHS (El Gingihy, 2015).

The NHS was a rarity, a British system that we could be proud of, now south of the border it has been eroded beyond recognition. With the UK Government dictating the size of the Block Grant received by the Scottish Government, little stands in the way of increased pressure being placed on the Scottish Government to follow suit. Despite assurances over the protection of “our most cherished public service”, the SNP can’t hold out forever.

Conclusion

With The Times stating that Whitehall officials are intent on forming ‘Empire 2.0’ (March 2017), remaining in the UK seems to signal an inward looking political entity, determined to relive its history. Becoming independent may be our only chance to create a modern fit-for-purpose political state, one that values the 181,000 EU nationals who have chosen to make this country their home.

The mass exodus of workers that looms over the Brexit negotiations lends itself to metaphors of rats fleeing a sinking ship. The risks posed to workers’ rights in light of the Trade Union Bill, the precariousness of the Great Repeal Bill, and the Tory mockery in the face of efforts to protect the rights of EU citizens demonstrates that despite a desire for progressive and inclusive politics from some, in the face of the current UK Government these efforts are futile.

In March 2017, the Scottish Conservative Party posted to Twitter that ‘A referendum cannot happen when Scots have not been given the opportunity to see how our new relationship with the EU is working’.

I don’t have to have experienced homelessness to know that I won’t enjoy it, and I don’t have to have lived in an isolationist UK to know that I would rather fight for an internationalist and outward looking Scotland. The people of Scotland may have a chance to break away and rebuild in the 21st century. I firmly believe we should take it.

LUKE CAMPBELL

One month on: delivering ‘The Vow’

Scottish Secretary Alistair Carmichael says pledge to devolve further powers to Scottish Parliament is on track

yes and noOne month on from Scotland’s decision to remain part of the UK, Scottish Secretary Alistair Carmichael has said the UK Government has hit the ground running on its pledge to devolve further powers to the Scottish Parliament.

He called on First Minister-in-waiting Nicola Sturgeon to adopt a similar approach and show real leadership in making things happen, and said it was vital that people in Scotland accept the result of the fair, legal and decisive referendum and move on in the best interests of all of Scotland.

On 18 September 2,001,926 people in Scotland voted for Scotland to stay in the UK, nearly 400,000 more than voted for the independence option. The turnout, at almost 85%, was the largest in UK election history.

Mr Carmichael said: “Nicola Sturgeon will take the reins at a time where most Scots are moving on with their lives after the long and passionate referendum campaign. We have hit the ground running and are already working hard to deliver the further devolution which we promised.

“During the referendum campaign we set out a timetable for the devolution of further powers and we’re not only meeting it, we’re beating it.

“I would call on Nicola Sturgeon to show genuine leadership and accept the result. There have already been cries of reneging on the more powers vow even though the Smith Commission hasn’t even proposed anything yet. The betrayal bandwagon is already getting dusted down. This is simply not good enough. The Scottish people have made their democratic decision and it must be respected.

“I appreciate the emotional intensity of the campaign but the UK Government respected the victory of the nationalists in 2011, recognised the will of the Scottish people and took measures to devolve the power to hold the referendum. Both sides signed the Edinburgh Agreement in good faith and it is that good faith which we need to see from the new First Minister.

“The referendum gave us a decisive result. This was the most democratic decision we have ever made in Scotland. More than 3.6 million people voted. One question was put to the electorate and the overwhelming majority of people in Scotland answered by saying they want to remain part of the United Kingdom.

“We are now working to build a stronger Scottish Parliament. Calling for a second referendum and reflecting on what could have been is entirely inappropriate. The Scottish Government wanted to divide the United Kingdom but if they carry on as they have for the past month then they risk dividing Scotland.”

Record front pageScotland’s deputy first minister Nicola Sturgeon said: “The Scottish government intends to play a full and constructive part in the process to deliver substantial new powers for the Scottish Parliament.

“This will include working to ensure that the outcome meets the high expectations of the people of Scotland as expressed in the referendum, given the various promises of ‘devo max’, ‘near federalism’ and ‘home rule’ which were made.”

She said that the UK parties were falling out over more powers for Holyrood and introducing Englishvotes for English laws’ at Westminster.

“In the month since the referendum, we have produced our submission to the Smith Commission, continued our engagement with the people of Scotland on more powers and witnessed a phenomenal rise in SNP membership as more and more people realise that it is the SNP that delivers for Scotland. It’s time for the Westminster parties to show the same spirit of co-operation and compromise, to stop squabbling with each other and to join us in working for Scotland’s best interests instead of their own.”